Ninja nerfed drop rates?

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failpatrol a écrit :

piety

There should be 4-month Piesto Runs League (with disabled Eternal Laboratory).
Everything at the end of the League is converted to Exalts at fixed known rates.

Softcore people get Dominus Runs League (with one-time Piesto shot for 2 points)
because it's technically harder.

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IceM a écrit :

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Mahesys a écrit :

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IceM a écrit :

Like a ninja nerf is not even possible? Just Like a bunch of sheep. D3 did it all the time, what do both games have in common? They care about the fucking economy more then players satisfaction.

LOL???

Diablo3 had no ninja nerfs at all, it was RNG all the time. These "ninja nerfs" where only stupid, EXTREMELY stupid impressions from even more stupid players.

I had over 1000 hrs in d3, so did my friends. WE saw patterns in the loot drops it was anything but random, we saw changes after patches. I am not going to argue with you, I dont give a fuck what a random stranger believes or not. WE know what we saw.

The random stranger is the first italian that killed inferno diablo in HC little pussy, i'm 1000 times more familiar than you RANDOM STRANGER with D3... sorry you argued with the wrong person.

But now i'm curious: please enlighten me.. tell me about these "patterns" in the loot drops... i'm interested, let's see if these patterns are more or less idiot than the ones in the italian forums

Reported. Oh and sure you were. Kripp is the only person that beat inferno before the nerf, I also beat inferno on hc, So what. Trying to look cool talking tough on the internet? What are you 12?

The thing about random is, even if it's 50-50 chance, that doesn't mean you win every second roll. IT'S RANDOM, WITH MUCH LOWER ODDS.

As far as sample size necessary to reverse engineer the random value, you'll need to talk to a statistician and have the data from before the patch also to compare it to. But for now, imagine how many rolls 10s of thousands of people make daily and realize you're only one of those people.

What was it called again? Gambler's fallacy? Gambler's folly?

It's when you believe that, because you failed already that you couldn't possibly fail again?

I had a dream last night that I killed a mini boss and it dropped like 6 unique items ... woke up and was bummed out that it was a dream.... just sayin...


It seems to me that drops overall in the last month have taken a dump maybe its working as intended from some patch note I didn't pay close enough attention to... my dream was still cool though hehe =)



hmm maybe I play too much...

Ok your "patterns" were just a bluff as suspected.

you're just one of the other 9495495849 players in D3 frustrated from low drops rates, nothing new, an usual RANDOM STRANGER complaining about drops and believing stupid conspiracies. At least not only italians believe in these things

I said i'm the first italian to prove you i'm not as rando as you, simple, Kripp was the world first, i was the italin first, your IQ can comprehend this?

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Mahesys a écrit :

The random stranger is the first italian that killed inferno diablo in HC little pussy, i'm 1000 times more familiar than you RANDOM STRANGER with D3... sorry you argued with the wrong person.

But now i'm curious: please enlighten me.. tell me about these "patterns" in the loot drops... i'm interested, let's see if these patterns are more or less idiot than the ones in the italian forums

LOL @ this goof.

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Caessa a écrit :

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reboticon a écrit :

I wonder how large of a sample size you have to take to not get one of the first 5 posts to be " not large enough sample size."

I was actually going to start a study on this, but I could never come up with the proper sample size.

In finance it's 30+.

But that's 30+ people doing a good few runs each.

I'd say if you get 30 people to each do 100 runs it'd make a pretty good sample size. Each person using 0/0 MF.

I'd say this would be a really good sample size and leave little doubt on what the actual odds are +/- being quite a small number..... would love to see the results of something like this. Then rerun it every patch =)

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IceM a écrit :

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Mahesys a écrit :

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IceM a écrit :

Like a ninja nerf is not even possible? Just Like a bunch of sheep. D3 did it all the time, what do both games have in common? They care about the fucking economy more then players satisfaction.

LOL???

Diablo3 had no ninja nerfs at all, it was RNG all the time. These "ninja nerfs" where only stupid, EXTREMELY stupid impressions from even more stupid players.

I had over 1000 hrs in d3, so did my friends. WE saw patterns in the loot drops it was anything but random, we saw changes after patches. I am not going to argue with you, I dont give a fuck what a random stranger believes or not. WE know what we saw.

It's called confirmation bias and being delusional.